Operations Plan Examples > Operations Plan Example
  
Operations Plan Example
This example illustrates operations plan calculations for supply sites and production lines. Calculations are shown by planning week.
Source Matrix Explosion
For each week with sales forecasts, Source Matrix Explosion (33.13.8) calculates global forecasts by totaling end-item forecasts from marketing sites.

Site and Global Forecasts
 
Week
Site A Forecasts
Site B Forecasts
Global Forecasts
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
4
4,000
6,000
10,000
5
7,000
5,000
12,000
6
4,500
6,500
11,000
7
4,500
4,500
9,000
8
5,000
5,000
10,000
9
6,000
5,000
11,000
10
6,000
6,000
12,000
11
8,000
5,000
13,000
12
0
0
0
The explosion uses the item’s average weeks-of-coverage factor (2.0) to calculate the global target inventory levels. Therefore, each week’s global target inventory equals the sum of the next two weeks of sales forecasts.

Global Forecasts and Target Inventory
 
Week
Global Forecasts
Global Target Inventory
1
0
0
2
0
10,000 = 0 + 10,000
3
0
22,000 = 10,000 + 12,000
4
10,000
23,000 = 12,000 + 11,000
5
12,000
20,000 = 11,000 + 9,000
6
11,000
19,000 = 9,000 + 10,000
7
9,000
21,000 = 10,000 + 11,000
8
10,000
23,000 = 11,000 + 12,000
9
11,000
25,000 = 12,000 + 13,000
10
12,000
13,000 = 13,000 + 0
11
13,000
0
12
0
0
The explosion calculates global production due as (Sales Forecast + Target Inventory) Previous Projected Quantity on Hand. For week 1, the previous projected QOH is 3,000, the ending inventory balance from the previous week.

Production Due Calculations
 
Week
Sales Forecast
Target
Inventory
Projected QOH
Production Due
1
0
0
3,000
0
2
0
10,000
10,000
7,000 = (0 + 10,000) – 3,000
3
0
22,000
22,000
12,000 = (0 + 22,000) – 10,000
4
10,000
23,000
23,000
11,000 = (10,000 + 23,000) – 22,000
5
12,000
20,000
20,000
9,000 = (12,000 + 20,000) – 23,000
6
11,000
19,000
19,000
10,000 = (11,000 + 19,000) – 20,000
7
9,000
21,000
21,000
11,000 = (9,000 + 21,000) – 19,000
8
10,000
23,000
23,000
12,000 = (10,000 + 23,000) – 21,000
9
11,000
25,000
25,000
13,000 = (11,000 + 25,000) – 23,000
10
12,000
13,000
13,000
0
11
13,000
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
The explosion initially calculates projected quantity on hand to equal the target inventory level. However, if you change production due, the system recalculates it as:
(Previous Week’s Projected QOH + Production Due) – Sales Forecast
The explosion initially calculates projected weeks of coverage as the item’s average weeks-of-coverage factor. But the system recalculates it when you change production due.
For each week, the system subtracts the forecast for each upcoming week, until it encounters a week for which the on-hand quantity is insufficient to cover the forecast. It then divides the remaining inventory by the sales forecast for the week. Finally, it calculates weeks of coverage by totaling the number of complete weeks and the decimal for the partial week.
In Sales Forecasts and Projected Quantities on Hand, the projected weeks of coverage for week 1 is 2.3, because 3,000 is a sufficient quantity to cover the forecasts for the next 2.3 weeks.
For 10, projected weeks of coverage is only 1.0. The projected on-hand quantity is exactly enough to cover the sales forecast for 11, and there are no sales forecasts in the remaining weeks.

Sales Forecasts and Projected Quantities on Hand
 
Week
Sales
Forecasts
Projected
QOH
Projected
Weeks of
Coverage
1
0
3,000
2.3
2
0
10,000
2.0
3
0
22,000
2.0
4
10,000
23,000
2.0
5
12,000
20,000
2.0
6
11,000
19,000
2.0
7
9,000
21,000
2.0
8
10,000
23,000
2.0
9
11,000
25,000
2.0
10
12,000
13,000
1.0
11
13,000
0
0.0
12
0
0
0.0
In this example, all production is distributed to one supply site with two production lines, 001 and 002. The site produces 75% of its requirement for the item on line 001 and the remaining 25% on line 002.

Site and Line Production Due
 
Week
Total Site Production
Due
Line 001 Production
Due (75%)
Line 002 Production
Due (25%)
1
0
0
0
2
7,000
5,250
1,750
3
12,000
9,000
3,000
4
11,000
8,250
2,750
5
9,000
6,750
2,250
6
10,000
7,500
2,500
7
11,000
8,250
2,750
8
12,000
9,000
3,000
9
13,000
9,750
3,250
10
0
0
0
11
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
The formula for projected line production hours is Line Production Due Quantity ÷ Hourly Line Production Rate. For line 001, the production rate is 375 units per hour. For line 002, it is 125 units per hour.

Line 001 Projected Production Hours
 
Week
Line 001 Projected
Production Hours
1
0
2
14 = 5,250 ÷ 375
3
24 = 9,000 ÷ 375
4
22 = 8,250 ÷ 375
5
18 = 6,750 ÷ 375
6
20 = 7,500 ÷ 375
7
22 = 8,250 ÷ 375
8
24 = 9,000 ÷ 375
9
26 = 9,750 ÷ 375
10
0
11
0
12
0
 

Line 002 Projected Production Hours
 
Week
Line 002 Projected
Production Hours
1
0
2
14 = 1,750 ÷ 125
3
24 = 3,000 ÷ 125
4
22 = 2,750 ÷ 125
5
18 = 2,250 ÷ 125
6
20 = 2,500 ÷ 125
7
22 = 2,750 ÷ 125
8
24 = 3,000 ÷ 125
9
26 = 3,250 ÷ 125
10
0
11
0
12
0
The line utilization percentage is the line’s production load divided by its capacity. The weekly capacity is 15,000 cases for line 001 (375 * 40 hours) and 5,000 cases (125 * 40 hours) for line 002. In this example, both lines have a standard 40-hour weekly shift calendar, and there are no scheduled holiday, downtime, or overtime periods.

Line 001 Utilization Percentages
 
Week
Line 001
Utilization
Percentages
1
0%
2
35% = 5,250 ÷ 15,000
3
60% = 9,000 ÷ 15,000
4
55% = 8,250 ÷ 15,000
5
45% = 6,750 ÷ 15,000
6
50% = 7,500 ÷ 15,000
7
55% = 8,250 ÷ 15,000
8
60% = 9,000 ÷ 15,000
9
65% = 9,750 ÷ 15,000
10
0%
11
0%
12
0%
 

Line 002 Utilization Percentages
 
 
Week
Line 002
Utilization
Percentages
1
0%
2
35% = 1,750 ÷ 5,000
3
60% = 3,000 ÷ 5,000
4
55% = 2,750 ÷ 5,000
5
45% = 2,250 ÷ 5,000
6
50% = 2,500 ÷ 5,000
7
55% = 2,750 ÷ 5,000
8
60% = 3,000 ÷ 5,000
9
65% = 3,250 ÷ 5,000
10
0%
11
0%
12
0%